News DoT lends new twist to 2G auction

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In a fresh twist to the ongoing saga on spectrum auction, the department of telecommunications (DoT) is proposing a halving of the payment period for the spectrum that an operator wins in the coming auction, while leaving the validity of the spectrum and the licence unchanged at 20 years.
The move is intended to make it easier for the companies to pay for the spectrum upfront and thereby increase the number of bidders, but could add to the confusion that had arisen after the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) proposed an unexpectedly high base price, which companies believe will threaten the viability of the sector.
“The allotment will be for 20 years, but the amount they pay will be for 10 years. After this time, they (the telcos) will have to pay the new prevailing market price at the time,” a senior DoT official said. “There is always an auction taking place and there is always a current market price for the spectrum. We have asked Trai to give us their analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of such a move for the operators and the government.”
The growing confusion over the process surrounding the spectrum auction is beginning to affect companies, with some of them putting their fund mobilization plans on hold. On Monday, Reliance Communications Ltd (R-Com), the mobile telephony arm of Anil Ambani-led Reliance Group, said that the proposed sale of its telecom tower assets will proceed only after regulatory uncertainties in the Indian telecom sector are resolved.
“We continue to engage with potential investors in order to complete the transaction,” Punit Garg, president of R-Com, told analysts at a conference call on Monday. “DoT and Trai are working on issues related to spectrum allocation and licensing guidelines. Once clarity emerges on various pending regulatory issues, then (the) transaction will proceed further.”
Over the last two years, R-Com has been looking to hive off its 50,000 telecom towers in order to bring down debt, but hasn’t been able to conclude a deal. Garg had said during an analyst call in February that R-Com was targeting significant debt reduction by March 2013. On 31 March, R-Com had net debt of Rs.35,839 crore, 12% higher than at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2012.
Though analysts have said in the past that any move to sell the tower assets will have to wait till regulatory issues are clarified, this is the first time that R-Com’s management has said on record that the deal may have to wait.
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Meanwhile, Trai is expected to forward its opinion on the issue in time for the next meeting of the empowered group of ministers (eGoM) on 5 June.
“The operators have expressed an inability to raise that much money in one go. We are looking at various options,” a second senior DoT official said requesting anonymity. “They will pay for a shorter period.”
The move means that the reserve price would fall significantly, making it easier for the telcos to pay for the spectrum in one go, as banks would be more comfortable lending the smaller amounts.
The Telecom Commission, which met on Saturday to discuss the reserve price for the spectrum to be auctioned later this year, has asked Trai to analyse the impact of pricing on subscribers, operators and government revenue. The impact analysis will be sent to the eGoM led by finance minister Pranab Mukherjee.
The Telecom Commission is the highest telecom policy decision-making body of the government and is chaired by telecom secretary R. Chandrashekhar. It also agreed in principle to allow the mortgaging of spectrum and a spectrum usage charge of 3% of adjusted gross revenue.
The eGoM is expected to be the final decision-maker on the auction. This is the third time that Trai will be looking into the issue in the last three months since the 2 February Supreme Court verdict that cancelled 122 licences allotted to nine companies. A DoT official said that the main aim of the analysis was to see whether there was a case to bring down the reserve price suggested by Trai. The apex court had asked the telecom regulator to look into the method and criteria for the auction in time for it to take place by 7 September.
Trai has twice submitted this calculation to DoT, proposing a reserve price ofRs. 3,622 crore per megahertz (MHz) for spectrum in the 1800MHz band. All the operators and stakeholders have lodged various protests and are lobbying hard to have this reserve price reduced.
Interestingly, many stakeholders have expressed hope that there may be a shift in Trai’s stance since its leadership has changed. Earlier this month, former commerce secretary Rahul Khullar took over as its chief from J.S. Sarma.
Trai’s calculations show that the impact of the proposed reserve price on tariffs would be 4 paise per minute in the first year and lower in subsequent years. Operators and stakeholders have disagreed with this calculation, saying the high spectrum price would lead to tariffs jumping 100%, making the sector unviable.
Trai reiterated its recommendations on 23 May, tweaking a few proposals, including increasing the spectrum usage charge to 3% from the earlier 1%.
In a meeting on the recommendations on Thursday, the Telecom Commission had decided to double the spectrum for auction to 10MHz (in blocks of 1.25MHz), if available after reserving airwaves for refarming purposes. The Telecom Commission also decided to retain the existing roll-out obligation norms and agreed with the Trai suggestion on liberalization of spectrum—that any technology can be used. Other decisions made include allowing the older operators to bid for two slots and the newer ones to bid for four slots of the spectrum up for auction.
In a statement on the Telecom Commission’s decisions on Saturday, the GSM Association (GSMA), a representative body of GSM operators across the world, expressed concern that the Telecom
Commission had not reduced the high reserve price levels. “If the prices remain the same, they present a major disincentive to future investment in India and will threaten the country’s leadership in mobile technology. GSMA also believes that spectrum usage charges should be kept at a minimum,” the statement said.
Meanwhile, in an interview with CNBC-TV18 on Monday, R-Com’s Garg pointed out that the present lack of clarity on spectrum allocation and the re-auction of licences that were taken away from existing telecom operators were holding up the valuation exercise for Reliance Infratel Ltd, R-Com’s telecom tower subsidiary. He stated that a deal could be completed by the second half of fiscal 2013 if regulatory clarity emerges by then.
“The deal has been delayed in any case, even before the regulatory uncertainty set in and we are not expecting it to be concluded anytime soon,” a telecom analyst with a Mumbai-based brokerage firm said. He declined to be identified as he is not authorized to speak to the media. “The market is not factoring in any upside from whatever the company has announced about the telecom tower company stake sale so far.”
R-Com’s earnings for the March quarter, announced on 26 May, surpassed the Street expectations. It reported a net profit of Rs. 331.60 crore, 78% higher quarter-on-quarter. Revenue in the same period grew 5% to Rs. 5,310 crore.
The company registered an operating profit of Rs. 1,632.20 crore, and an operating profit margin of 30.7%, lower than the 31.9% margin reported in the December quarter.
 

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Telcos oppose DoT going back to Trai for 10-yr spectrum validity

Newer telecom operators and dual technology entities are opposing the department of telecommunications (DoT)’s decision to ask the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) to give its view on whether the price of spectrum being offered in the coming 2G auction should be valid for 10 years instead of 20 years.

Executives in the Association of Unified Telecom Service Providers of India (AUSPI), which represents dual technology operators offering both CDMA and GSM modes, say such a move will almost bar those wishing to enter the business and make the auction unviable. “Bharti Airtel took six to seven years to break even and it was operating in a much less competitive market. Today, it takes an operator eight to nine years to break even. But you are saying that now you have done the hard work, you have to pay a higher amount for spectrum. No one will come,” said a senior executive of AUSPI.

While newer telecom operators refused to comment on the issue officially , executives say they this will jeopardise fresh investment in the sector. “No new operator would like to invest so much money for spectrum only for a 10-year period. It is not a viable preposition.Who will give us money?” says a top executive of a new operator, which has been thinking of bidding in the 2G auction.


BONE OF CONTENTION
* DoT asks Trai to consider whether spectrum for 1,800 MHz in the auction should be given for 10 yrs instead of 20 years, though the licence period should be for 10 yrs
* New operators say this will make it difficult for them to bid as 10 years is not a viable period for long-gestation projects such as telecom
* Operators say it takes 8-9 years for a new operator to achieve break-even under tough competition, so it does not make a viable business plan
* Analysts say as spectrum price after 10 years cannot be predicted. It will lead to uncertainty



Analysts agree a 10-year period is too little for a long-gestation business like telecom. Without clarity on extending the licence, it would be detrimental, they say. “The telecom business requires a lot of investments and a 10-year licence period is not enough for return on investments,” said Mritunjay Kapur, managing director of Protiviti Consulting.

Says Mahesh Uppal, director of consultancy firm ComFirst: “It is a wrong way to solve the more serious problem of a high reserve price. This move will make it more difficult for new players who have no spectrum or licences.”

Recently, Trai issued recommendations for coming 2G auctions. Its suggestion of a resrve price of Rs 3,622 crore for every 1 MHz of the 1,800 MHz band has met with serious protest from all operators. They say rates to consumers would then rise from a minimum of 26p per minute to as much as 90p in metro cities. The regulator had also suggested a staggered period of payment for 12 years, which has been rejected by DoT; it fears, based on previous experience, that many operators may not pay later on. The latest proposal is seen as one way to reduce the upfront payment to be made but, as mentioned, could lead to new operators (for whom two slots have been reserved in the auction) not to bid. “This will create disturbances in the process. There will be a lot of debate and discussion over this,” said Sandeep Biswas, director ( telecom), Deloitte Consulting.


Telcos oppose DoT going back to Trai for 10-yr spectrum validity
 
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